Close rate is the number a dealer principal should defend, and the number most likely reported wrong. Read it correctly, and it tells you which lead source to scale and which to stop. Read it wrong, and you scale the wrong one.
Close rate is the single number a dealer principal should defend, and it is the number most likely to be reported wrong. The wrong way to read it is as a single percentage pulled off a monthly report. The right way to read it is as a benchmark that tells you whether a lead source is worth scaling, whether your team is working leads well, and whether the gross per deal you are modeling is actually achievable.
Here is what 8 to 12 percent, the close rate range we see across our dealer partners on credit-screened, phone-verified subprime leads, actually means for a dealership's bottom line, and how to read close rate benchmarks correctly.
What 8 to 12 percent actually means
A 10 percent close rate means that for every 100 leads delivered, 10 become sold deals. That sounds plain, but the implication is large. If your average gross per subprime deal is $7,000 to $10,000, which is what our partners report, then 100 leads at a 10 percent close rate produces 10 deals at roughly $70,000 to $100,000 in gross profit. The lead spend sits underneath that, as a line item.
This is why close rate is the number to defend. A two-point swing in close rate, from 10 percent to 8 percent, does not move the result by 2 percent. It moves the result by 20 percent of the deals. On 200 leads a month, that is four fewer deals, which is $28,000 to $40,000 a month in gross that the dealership was modeling and will not see.
What drags close rate down
The three things that drag close rate down are the same three things a dealership can fix. The first is unscreened leads, because a denominator full of leads that never qualified will close at whatever the floor allows, regardless of how good the team is. The second is slow follow-up, because a subprime lead goes cold inside an hour and a team that calls the next day closes a fraction of the team that calls the same hour. The third is duplicate leads, where the same buyer reaches your floor twice and the team double-counts a deal that only exists once.
Our leads are sold once and never duplicated, meaning a lead is never resold to two dealers, which removes the duplicate problem. They are credit-screened and phone-verified before delivery, which removes the unscreened-denominator problem. The one a dealership still owns is follow-up speed, which is why close rate is a team number and a lead number at the same time.
How to use the benchmark to evaluate a lead source
The right way to use an 8 to 12 percent benchmark is not to demand it from every source. It is to compare each source against it honestly. A source that closes at 9 percent into a $9,000 gross at a $35 cost per lead is a better buy than a source that closes at 5 percent into the same gross at a $20 cost per lead, even though the second source looks cheaper on a cost-per-lead report.
Run the math the same way every month, by source. Deals, close rate, gross per deal, cost per lead, and the gross profit left after the lead spend. The source that wins on gross profit after lead spend is the source to scale. The source that wins only on cost per lead is the source to question.
Why a higher close rate is not always better
A close rate that suddenly jumps well above 12 percent can be a warning, not a win. It can mean the lead volume dropped and the team chased the easy ones. It can mean the screen got tighter and the volume of leads that actually reach the floor fell. A close rate of 18 percent on 50 leads a month is not the same as a close rate of 10 percent on 250 leads, because the gross profit at the higher volume is higher even at the lower rate.
The honest goal is a close rate inside the 8 to 12 percent range, at a volume the team can actually work, into a gross per deal of $7,000 to $10,000. That combination is what produces a subprime pod that pays for itself, not a single percentage that looks good on a report.
How to report close rate without fooling yourself
Report close rate by source, not as a store-wide average. A store-wide average hides the source that is closing at 4 percent inside the source closing at 11 percent, and a dealership that cannot see the difference cannot fix it. Report it monthly, with the same definition every month, on leads that were actually delivered, not leads that were bought. The number that does not move with the math is the number that is being massaged.
The 48-hour guarantee and the honest close rate
Our subprime leads are backed by a 48-hour replacement guarantee, which keeps the close rate honest. A lead that does not meet the agreed standard is replaced inside 48 hours, so the denominator only includes leads that should have closed, and the close rate the dealership reports is the close rate the dealership can actually plan on. A guarantee does not raise the close rate. It makes the close rate trustworthy, which is more useful.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is a good close rate for subprime auto leads? A: Across our partners, credit-screened, phone-verified subprime leads close at 8 to 12 percent. Planning around that range is honest. Planning much higher usually ends in a miss.
Q: Why does my close rate fluctuate month to month? A: Three reasons: the mix of leads, the speed of follow-up, and the gross per deal the team is working for. The first two are the ones a dealership can fix.
Q: Is a higher close rate always better? A: Not always. A very high close rate on a small volume can produce less gross profit than a moderate close rate on a larger volume. The goal is gross profit, not the percentage.
Q: How does the replacement guarantee affect close rate? A: It keeps the close rate honest by replacing leads that do not meet the standard inside 48 hours, so the denominator only includes leads that should have closed.
Q: Should I compare lead sources on cost per lead or close rate? A: Close rate and gross per deal. A cheaper lead that closes at half the rate costs more per deal, which is the only metric that matters at the bottom line.
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